5

Angel Hunter

4yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 90

Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to winning ways at Lingfield in April and largely run with credit since, his latest close second (clear of rest) at Thirsk last week arguably a career best. Should go well again off 2 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 91 · 1m Sta 131 · below its mark04/02/2026 · OR 91 par4/023OR 913 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m13y Std 134 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 89 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 89 par3/043OR 893 @ Ascot 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 92 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 92 par3 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 92 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 92 par16/053OR 922 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 91 · 7f1y Gd 127 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 91 par3 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 90 · 1m Goo 142 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 90 par19/063OR 903 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Thirsk 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 88 par1/083OR 88projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Thirsk32nd3rd1
2026-07-10York34th5th1
2026-06-19Newmarket36th7th1
2026-05-30Chester27th7th0
2026-05-16Newmarket36th7th1
2026-05-01Ascot36th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/021/0519/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/202610th22/10%0%0.00
20/02/20268th9/153%36%-0.16
03/04/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
01/05/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
16/05/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
30/05/20267th16/116%40%+0.24
19/06/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
10/07/20264th9/153%81%+0.29
01/08/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17