5

Angel Hunter
4yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 90
Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 81% | +0.29 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |