3

Betty Clover

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 93

Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Highly tried since winning a listed race at York as a juvenile and struggled back in handicap company at Royal Ascot last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Goodwood 03/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 97 · 1m Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 97 par3/051OR 97C0 @ Chantilly 01/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 100 · 7f209y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2025 · OR 100 par1 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 100 · 7f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 100 par30/071OR 1001 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 100 · 1m Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 100 par1 @ Doncaster 14/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 97 · 7f6y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 97 par14/091OR 971 @ Kempton 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 95 · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 95 par1 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 95 · 1m Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 95 par2/051OR 951 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m113y GS 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 23rd of 24 · OR 95 · 1m GF 128 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 95 par17/062OR 95projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Royal Ascot223th23th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs14th2nd+1
2026-05-02Goodwood15th4th+1
2026-03-28Kempton15th4th+1
2025-09-14Doncaster116th14th+1
2025-08-30Sandown113th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0530/082/0517/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20252nd14/126%88%+0.61
01/06/20253rd13/266%71%+0.06
30/07/20257th14/126%50%+0.24
30/08/202513th18/15%0%-0.05
14/09/202516th40/10%12%+0.12
28/03/20265th40/10%60%+0.60
02/05/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
06/06/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
17/06/202623rd33/10%4%+0.04