6
Humam
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 88
Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 2 | 26th | 26th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Ascot | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | York | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 62% | -0.10 |
| 09/05/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 24/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 09/05/2026 | 26th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |