
Military Code
3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 99
Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | York | 1 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-23 | York | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Sandown | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2025 | 17th | 7/1 | 63% | 16% | -0.47 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 11/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |