2

Military Code

3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 99

Newmarket · William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 5f novice winner last year and also a close second in listed races at Sandown and York. However, tame efforts at that level both starts this season so plenty to prove now. Hood applied for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 17/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Gd 13317/0443 @ Ascot 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f GF 1361 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR - · 6f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS17/0611 @ Sandown 04/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 96 · 5f10y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 96 par1 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 99 · 5f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 99 par30/071OR 991 @ York 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 99 par1 @ Sandown 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 105 · 5f10y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 105 par13/061OR 1051 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 104 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 104 par11/071OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11York113th12th+1
2026-06-13Sandown17th6th+1
2025-08-23York12nd1st+1
2025-07-30Goodwood17th5th+1
2025-07-04Sandown12nd1st+1
2025-06-17Royal Ascot117th15th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/044/0713/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
10/05/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
17/06/202517th7/163%16%-0.47
04/07/20252nd15/890%83%-0.07
30/07/20257th7/282%14%-0.67
23/08/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
13/06/20267th11/486%14%-0.71
11/07/202613th40/10%0%0.00