7

Drymee

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Newmarket · William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improving sort who has already proved himself to be effective on any ground, winning his maiden at Lingfield on heavy before following up on handicap bow at Newbury (firm). Had something in hand both times so hat-trick could well be on the cards.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength9%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/0945 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 12720/0554 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f135y Sft 1296/0645 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 73 · 1m GF 134 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 73 par2/075OR 73projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Newbury51st3rd2
2026-06-06Lingfield41st2nd1
2026-05-20Kempton57th9th2
2025-09-09Leicester44th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0920/056/062/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20254th150/10%70%+0.70
20/05/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
06/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
02/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09