5
Go Rimbaud
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 85
Newmarket · William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/07/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |