1

Looka

3yo Colt · 9-11 · OR 92

Newmarket · William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left his debut behind when winning Kempton novice with a hood added last summer but not seen since down the field in the Solario at Sandown later in the month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 03/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f212y Goo 1333/0734 @ Kempton 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 1336/0841 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS30/081projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-30Sandown15th2nd+2
2025-08-06Kempton41st2nd1
2025-07-03Haydock36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/076/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
06/08/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
30/08/20255th28/10%20%+0.20