6
Loleeta
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 69
Newmarket · Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |