3
Our Planet
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 70
Newmarket · Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Chester | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 30/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/10/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |