2
Jack Langley
4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 67
Newmarket · William Hill Price Boosts Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |