6
Magic Lady Mae
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 50
Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |