4

Vastern

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Redcar · Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second at 7f on debut at Chepstow but went backwards when upped to 1m, finishing well-beaten third of 6 in a novice at Newmarket 22 days ago. Form lacks solidity so may find a couple too good.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 1333/0744 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m GF 13017/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-07-03Chepstow42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0717/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength3%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
17/07/20263rd13/891%60%-0.31