Ice Show
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 55
Redcar · Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport Handicap · 7f 219y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |