Itszaboy
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52
Redcar · Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport Handicap · 7f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Redcar | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |