2

Miss Potomac

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 55

Redcar · Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport Handicap · 7f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not looked much better than poor to date, failing to improve in March after 7 months off. Now makes handicap debut after another break and is hard to fancy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 13/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f16y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0744 @ Beverley 24/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS24/0844 @ Southwell 10/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/034projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-10Southwell45th3rd+2
2025-08-24Beverley49th7th+2
2025-07-13Southwell48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0724/0810/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20258th20/10%30%+0.30
24/08/20259th13/266%33%-0.32
10/03/20265th200/10%33%+0.33