Park Lane Penny
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 51
Redcar · Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport Handicap · 7f 219y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |