4
Saxon Grace
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 52
Redcar · Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport Handicap · 7f 219y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Catterick | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Carlisle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |