8
Nyman
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 73
Redcar · Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap · 7f 219y
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 4 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 17th | 12/1 | 37% | 24% | -0.13 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |