3
Doralee
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 48
Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Classified Stakes · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |