4
Let's Go Hugo
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 50
Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Classified Stakes · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Catterick | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 18/5 | 81% | 75% | -0.06 |
| 31/10/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 02/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 07/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |