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5

Pinpoint

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 46

Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Classified Stakes · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Two solid in-frame efforts since leaving Ewan Whillans, including fourth of 10 at Beverley 25 days ago, keeping on late. More needed on these terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Hamilton 26/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 48 · 5f7y Gd 125 · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 48 par26/066OR 486 @ Hamilton 12/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 52 · 5f7y Gd 131 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Hamilton 17/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 52 · 5f7y Goo 133 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 52 par17/076OR 526 @ Ayr 11/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark11/08/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Newcastle 09/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f Std 130 · beat its mark09/12/2025 · OR 50 par9/126OR 506 @ Newcastle 10/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 48 · 6f Std 128 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Newcastle 24/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 47 · 5f Std 135 · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 47 par24/016OR 476 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 46 · 5f110y Goo 126 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 46 · 5f Goo 126 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 46 par14/076OR 46projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Beverley64th4th0
2026-06-15Wetherby62nd2nd0
2026-01-24Newcastle66th6th0
2026-01-10Newcastle66th6th0
2025-12-09Newcastle611th11th0
2025-08-11Ayr67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0611/0824/0114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
12/07/20254th5/287%25%-0.62
17/07/20256th15/261%29%-0.32
11/08/20257th28/10%25%+0.25
09/12/202511th40/10%9%+0.09
10/01/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
24/01/20266th22/10%29%+0.29
15/06/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
14/07/20264th9/153%67%+0.14