10

Galistra

3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 50

Redcar · Remembering Christine And Colin Brown Handicap · 1m 5f 218y

#10

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form for Ralph Beckett and yet to offer much for current handler, seventh of 10 in handicap at Southwell (11f) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/0133 @ Southwell 11/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f14y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS11/0333 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m4f8y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/0636 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 52 · 1m4f51y Std 125 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 52 par14/076OR 526 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 52 · 1m3f23y Std 133 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 52 par23/076OR 52projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell67th7th0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-06-16Thirsk35th1st+3
2026-03-11Southwell35th1st+3
2026-01-19Kempton38th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0111/0316/0614/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/01/20268th13/891%13%-0.79
11/03/20265th50/10%20%+0.20
16/06/20265th200/10%0%0.00
14/07/202610th50/10%0%0.00
23/07/20267th200/10%33%+0.33