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3

Nanny Park

4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 62

Redcar · Remembering Christine And Colin Brown Handicap · 1m 5f 218y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tricky customer who landed 4-runner Doncaster handicap (14f) in July. Failed to last home when eleventh of 13 in handicap at York (2m, good) 15 days ago. Not out of things back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 24/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m3f44y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 70 par24/083OR 704 @ Wolverhampton 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m142y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 68 · 1m2f219y Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 68 par13/105OR 685 @ Doncaster 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m2f43y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m1f170y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 66 par8/055OR 666 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m2f5y Goo 134 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 62 · 1m3f197y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 62 par20/065OR 625 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 60 · 1m6f115y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 60 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 63 · 2m56y Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 63 par24/074OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York411th9th+2
2026-07-09Doncaster51st0th+1
2026-06-20Doncaster53rd2nd+1
2026-06-08Pontefract67th7th0
2026-05-08Ripon512th11th+1
2026-04-24Doncaster58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0824/0420/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
16/09/20253rd8/1196%60%-0.36
13/10/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
24/04/20268th40/10%0%0.00
08/05/202612th80/10%0%0.00
08/06/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
20/06/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60
09/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
24/07/202611th33/10%17%+0.17