Saratoga Gold
8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 62
Redcar · Remembering Christine And Colin Brown Handicap · 1m 5f 218y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |