5

Spooky Wooky

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 60

Redcar · Remembering Christine And Colin Brown Handicap · 1m 5f 218y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden at 3yrs. Off 8 months before last of 7 in handicap at Southwell (1¾m) 34 days ago. Visored/tongue tied for 1st time with lots more required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Haydock 21/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m3f175y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS21/0655 @ Southwell 01/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0855 @ Southwell 02/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f24y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS2/0956 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1m7f Sft 133 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 63 par30/096OR 635 @ Musselburgh 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 1m7f217y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 62 par13/105OR 626 @ Musselburgh 05/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m7f217y Sft 136 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 62 par5/116OR 625 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 62 par5/075OR 62projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Southwell57th6th+1
2025-11-05Musselburgh66th6th0
2025-10-13Musselburgh53rd2nd+1
2025-09-30Ayr62nd2nd0
2025-09-02Southwell57th6th+1
2025-08-01Southwell54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0630/095/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20255th28/10%0%0.00
01/08/20254th200/10%75%+0.75
02/09/20257th125/10%54%+0.54
30/09/20252nd50/10%88%+0.88
13/10/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
05/11/20256th5/287%38%-0.49
05/07/20267th20/10%0%0.00