4

Bleep Test

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 68

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap · 5f 217y

#1

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won maiden over C&D last May. Yet to offer much in 3 runs this season, tongue tied when last of 12 in handicap at York (7f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Redcar 07/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f Gd 1287/0454 @ Redcar 27/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f217y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ York 13/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS13/0624 @ Pontefract 22/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR - · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Carlisle 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 5f182y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 84 par25/062OR 844 @ Hamilton 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 83 · 5f7y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 80 par27/064OR 804 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 77 · 5f182y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 72 par25/074OR 72projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25York412th11th+1
2026-07-09Carlisle48th7th+1
2026-06-27York411th10th+1
2025-07-17Hamilton44th3rd+1
2025-06-25Carlisle23rd-1th+3
2025-06-22Pontefract42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0422/0627/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20252nd28/10%89%+0.89
27/05/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
13/06/20252nd11/486%83%-0.02
22/06/20252nd85/4089%50%-0.39
25/06/20253rd13/266%50%-0.16
17/07/20254th3/184%0%-0.84
27/06/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
09/07/20268th22/10%0%0.00
25/07/202612th33/10%0%0.00