5
Brave Traveller
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap · 5f 217y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Catterick | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |