Bye Law
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap · 5f 217y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.02 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 27/06/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |