IvyArcIvyArc
7

Houndhill

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap · 5f 217y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Refitted with a visor when back to winning ways in 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 8 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Brave Traveller. Needs to show he's as effective on turf now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 68 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark02/12/2025 · OR 68 par2/125OR 685 @ Newcastle 13/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 67 · 6f Std 132 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 67 par5 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 68 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 68 par25/045OR 685 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 67 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 64 · 5f Std 135 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 64 par19/056OR 644 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 69 par1/075OR 695 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 131 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Newcastle 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 68 · 5f Sta 134 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 68 par31/075OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Newcastle51st1st0
2026-07-16Thirsk58th8th0
2026-07-01Thirsk511th11th0
2026-06-12York410th9th+1
2026-05-19Newcastle61st2nd−1
2026-05-04Beverley58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/124/051/0731/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20253rd9/488%33%-0.55
13/12/20252nd9/276%67%-0.10
25/04/20266th20/10%50%+0.50
04/05/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
19/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
12/06/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
01/07/202611th12/137%0%-0.37
16/07/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
31/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42