3
Masaban
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap · 5f 217y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 62% | -0.02 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 85% | -0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |