1
Rhetorical
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 116
Saratoga · Race 10 - Fourstardave Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |