3
Zulu Kingdom
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 113
Saratoga · Race 10 - Fourstardave Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/11/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 08/03/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/4 | 99% | 50% | -0.49 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |