8
Mccready
3yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 96
Saratoga · Race 11 - Saratoga Derby S. Presented By Qatar Racing - Grade 1 · 1m 1f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-01-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-10-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |