8

Battis Grove

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 97

Saratoga · Race 13 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f Fas 1181/05C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 101 · 6f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 101 par30/05C6OR 101C5 @ Ellis Park 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 99 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 99 par9/07C5OR 99projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Ellis Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-30Churchill Downs?1st2nd1
2026-05-01Churchill Downs?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0530/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11
30/05/20261st1/1099%100%+0.01
09/07/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25