Golden Irish
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 78
Saratoga · Race 13 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 9th | 6/4 | 92% | 11% | -0.81 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |