3
Helen's Revenge
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 82
Saratoga · Race 13 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |