Miss Elle
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 83
Saratoga · Race 13 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 11/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |