2
Capital Partner
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 14 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength96%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |