Presider
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96
Saratoga · Race 14 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 30% | -0.57 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |