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9

Stark

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 97

Saratoga · Race 14 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 1222/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 100 · 1m2f Fm 118 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 100 par5/07C6OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/065/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
05/07/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03