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6

Yo Daddy

5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 106

Saratoga · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 06/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 108 · 1m Slo 123 · beat its mark06/02/2025 · OR 108 par6/02C6OR 108C5 @ Aqueduct 01/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/03/2025 · OR 110 parC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 105 · 1m Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2025 · OR 105 par4/05C1OR 105C0 @ Saratoga 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 102 · 2m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 102 parC6 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 104 · 1m1f 121 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 104 par4/02C6OR 104C5 @ Aqueduct 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 111 · 1m Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 111 parC5 @ Aqueduct 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 1m2f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 109 par4/04C5OR 109C1 @ Laurel Park 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 108 · 1m1f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 106 · 1m2f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 106 par4/07C?OR 106projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Saratoga?6th0th+5
2026-05-15Laurel Park?6th0th+5
2026-04-04Aqueduct?1st0th+1
2026-02-28Aqueduct?2nd1st+1
2026-02-04Aqueduct?1st1st0
2025-06-06Saratoga?2nd-4th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/026/064/044/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength2%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
01/03/20255th9/488%43%-0.45
04/05/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
06/06/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
04/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
28/02/20262nd9/488%50%-0.38
04/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/05/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
04/07/20266th25/10%50%+0.50