1

Consumer Sentiment

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 82

Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 23/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 11823/03C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark02/05/2025 · OR 92 par2/05C6OR 92projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-02Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd1
2025-03-23Aqueduct?3rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/032/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20253rd13/891%60%-0.31
02/05/20251st5/287%100%+0.13