11
Fast And Frisky
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 81
Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |