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12

Soundbite

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 78

Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 03/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m1f Fas 123 · below its mark03/04/2025 · OR 84 par3/04C6OR 84C7 @ Saratoga 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 1m110y Slo 125 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Saratoga 01/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m 124 · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 85 par1/09C5OR 85C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 124 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 82 parC6 @ Aqueduct 11/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m 121 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 88 par11/02C6OR 88C8 @ Aqueduct 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 85 · 1m Slo 121 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Aqueduct 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m1f 126 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 86 par19/04C6OR 86C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m 126 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 87 parC6 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m 126 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 88 par24/07C6OR 88projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Saratoga?5th6th−1
2026-06-27Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1
2026-04-19Aqueduct?4th5th−1
2026-02-27Aqueduct?3rd6th−3
2026-02-11Aqueduct?5th6th−1
2025-10-03Belmont At The Big A?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/043/1019/0424/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength40%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20254th9/276%25%-0.51
31/07/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
01/09/20259th12/137%11%-0.26
03/10/20252nd11/893%75%-0.18
11/02/20265th5/287%43%-0.44
27/02/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
19/04/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
27/06/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
24/07/20265th12/137%20%-0.17