3
Agoo
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81
Saratoga · Race 5 - Allowance · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2024-07-13 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-02-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2023 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 22/10/2023 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/11/2023 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 23/12/2023 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 13/02/2024 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 26/05/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 13/07/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/10/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |