7
Tagermeen
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 5 - Allowance · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |