5

Iron Sight
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 89
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#9
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2024-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |