12
Magnanimous Max
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#13
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |