5
Striking Lady
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 1 - Best Of Ohio Pay The Man Stakes · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |