7

Empire Vybz

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 60

Thistledown · Race 2 - Best Of Ohio Cleveland Kindergarten Stakes · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f 1187/07C6C6 @ Thistledown 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 55 · 5f Fas 118 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 55 par22/07C6OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Thistledown?1st3rd2
2026-07-07Thistledown?2nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0722/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07
22/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08