7

Empire Vybz
2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 2 - Best Of Ohio Cleveland Kindergarten Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |